Cheapest Las Vegas Blackjack with the Lowest Expected Loss

Blackjack table at OYO Casino on September 30, 2024. (Kristina Mehaffey/Advantage Media)Blackjack table at OYO Casino on September 30, 2024. (Kristina Mehaffey/Advantage Media)

Live blackjack in Las Vegas has gotten expensive since the pandemic recovery. Most blackjack tables under $5 disappeared. A few remain, as well as other low-limit games with small house edges. The list below shows the smallest expected loss at the typical minimum bet at each blackjack game with a low minimum bet and house edge. All hit soft 17.

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Poker Palace – $3 

Poker Palace Casino

The best expected value in blackjack is at Poker Palace in North Las Vegas. This $3 six-deck game permits double down on two or three cards before and after splitting. The house edge is around 0.45%. At the $3 minimum bet, players should expect to lose about $0.0135 per hand. That is the lowest of any blackjack game in the Las Vegas market.

Jerry’s Nugget – $5

Jerry’s Nugget in North Las Vegas has the last $5 3/2 double-deck blackjack game in the market. It has normal double down rules. The house edge is 0.46%, putting the expected loss at the minimum bet at $0.023 per hand.

Entrance to Jerry's Nugget Casino

Downtown Grand and Tuscany – $5

Downtown Grand and Tuscany deal a $5 six-deck blackjack game. It offers re-split aces. The house edge is 0.55%. At $5 per hand, the expected loss is $0.0275 each time.

$1 blackjack games

Downtown Grand and Oyo deal $1 blackjack. Downtown Grand offers re-split aces. Oyo does not. The house edge is 2.82% at Downtown Grand and 2.88% at Oyo. The expected loss per $1 hand is $0.028 at Downtown Grand and $0.029 at Oyo

Other $5 3/2 blackjack games

Ellis Island, Jerry’s Nugget, and South Point all have $5 3/2 six-deck blackjack with the same standard double down rules but no surrender or re-split aces. These tables use continuous shuffling machines. The house edge is 0.64%. At $5, the expected loss per hand is $0.032 per hand

$10 3/2 games

The selection of cheap blackjack games with low expected losses expands greatly at the $10 limit. Available options use two or six decks. 

The $10 double-deck games are available at Aliante, Arizona Charlie’s Decatur, Boulder Station, Cannery, M Resort, Rampart, Sam’s Town, South Point, and Suncoast. Standard double down rules apply. The house edge is 0.46%. The expected loss is $0.046 per hand

The six-deck rules vary by casino. Rampart permits surrender and re-split aces. The house edge is about 0.46%. A $10 player should expect to lose $0.046 per hand at Rampart. 

M Resort and Silverton have $10 games with re-split aces. The house edge is 0.55%, making the expected loss per hand $0.055

Aliante, Arizona Charlie’s, Oyo, Skyline, and Suncoast have standard double down rules without surrender or re-split aces. The house edge is 0.64%. The expected loss per hand is $0.064.

How do high-limit blackjack games compare?

Most casinos offer better rules at high-limit games. Here are the expected losses for the most common salon blackjack tables.

Most MGM casinos, Fontainebleau, Palms, and Treasure Island, deal double-deck blackjack that stands on soft 17. The house edge is about 0.25% at these tables. That is the lowest for any Las Vegas blackjack game. The list below shows the expected loss per hand at commonly available limits:

  • $50: $0.125
  • $100: $0.25
  • $200: $0.50
  • $300: $0.75
  • $500: $1.25

The other common salon game is six-deck that stands on soft 17 and permits surrender and re-split aces. It is offered at most Las Vegas Strip salons and a few local casinos like M Resort, Palms, and four Station Casinos properties. This game holds about 0.28%. The expected loss per hand at commonly available limits are:

  • $50: $0.14
  • $100: $0.28
  • $200: $0.56
  • $300: $0.84

The expected loss per hand at salon games is exponentially higher than the best low-limit ones. However, players who prefer betting big will want to stick with the salon games. Those more comfortable with $5 and $10 games have no reason to move up in limits as there are still many options with a tiny expected loss in Las Vegas.  

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John Mehaffey
John, a founding member of Advantage Media LLC, got his start in gaming as a prop player at online poker sites. He played online poker from 2001 to 2005. In 2004, he created a site that served as a directory for an online poker promotional method known as rakeback. He sold that site in 2006 and moved his family from Atlanta to Rapid City, SD to work for a similar company. They later moved to Las Vegas in 2010. John’s favorite game is full-pay video poker. His favorite table game is Ultimate Texas Hold’em, though he would rather play it in video form. Currently, John is best known for compiling blackjack and table game data including all Las Vegas and Clark County casinos.